Akshay Kumar seems to have found his new winning formula! From 2005-2008, he was in many comedy films, many of which were well-appreciated by the public and became huge hits at the box office. Major successes like Welcome (2007) helped him reach one of the top spots among the leading male stars in Bollywood, as he was considered competition to Shah Rukh and Aamir!

However, a series of poor and repetitive comedy films changed things around and brought Akshay’s career in a big slump.

Suddenly, in 2012 with OMG! Oh My God, Akshay started doing films which dealt with issues that affect Indians, or that at least carried some sort of Indian patriotic sentiments. Holiday – A Soldier Is Never Off Duty, Baby, Airlift, and Toilet – Ek Prem Katha are some examples of those. It’s a desh-bhakti image, as many would say!

Akshay now has another such film releasing this Friday: PadMan!

The film was originally supposed to release on Republic Day (Jan 26). Then, the makers decided to release it a day earlier: January 25. Of course, Padmaavat then decided to release on that date instead, which resulted in a game of musical chairs with PadMan and Aiyaary, with PadMan deciding to release on Feb 9!

PadMan is carrying positive pre-release buzz, has controlled costs, has a few holidays during its run, and is certain to get extremely positive word-of-mouth publicity from viewers that watch the film. It is certain that the film will be a box office success. With that being said, Toilet – Ek Prem Katha looks to be safe as Akshay’s highest grosser, the reason being that Toilet released with a national holiday (Independence Day). Even some of Akshay’s other highest grossers released with either a national holiday or post-IPL period, neither of which PadMan benefits from. Also, director R. Balki has been known to make films aimed for the multiplex audiences, and although PadMan does appear to be a universally All-India appealing film, it’s likely that the audience in smaller centres, although they will like the film, would not appreciate the film as much as Toilet – Ek Prem Katha or Rowdy Rathore (Akshay’s two highest grossers) given Balki’s multiplex-oriented sensibilities.  Nonetheless, the overall picture will be rosy for PadMan!

My Box Office Predictions for PadMan:

Opening Day: 12 crore nett

Opening Weekend: 48 crore nett

Lifetime: 122 crore nett

Overall Verdict: Super Hit

As always, you can follow me on Twitter at Bobby Sidhu!




32 COMMENTS

  1. Ha ha ha prediction of 12 crore opening. I think if there is 1 thing consistent in bollywood now that would definitely be Akshay Kumar giving 12 crore opening. Even one day sun will rise in the west, even one day man will become pregnant, one day cars will fly in the sky but even then Akshay Kumar will remain consistent in giving 12 crore opening.

    • No this will change as Akshay will give 15cr on day 1 with Padman .
      But one thing will always remain same . That is idiots like @honest man . These idiots will consistently bark . These are senseless people and will always remain senseless.

    • Consistency is the key… Whatever you say, Akshay Kumar is the only one actor who is giving us meaningfull films which we all like… Not BS like tiger Zindagi hai…

  2. 150 crore sure. Thanks bobby sidhu for your kindness. Best of luck for akshay sir. Love u akshay sir.

    • i also think this movie has a high chance of making it to 150 because the bar is pushed higher over 5cr footfalls by bahubali 2 that means more new theater going audiance and also the gst factor movies has a greater chance to make 10 to 25% more they would have done one year ago but one problem with padman is it does looks like a cinematic experience anyway time will tell

  3. padmaavat 2000 screen on 3rd weekend
    padman 3000 screen
    padmaavat can more collection in 3rd weekend by padman
    padman 1st day 14cr
    2nd day 16cr
    3rd day 20cr
    weekend 50cr
    padmaavat 3rd friday 12cr
    2nd day 17cr 3rd day 22cr
    or more paamavat release this Friday in all states and get 1000 screen this Friday

  4. Bobby Bhai aapka har point ek dam sahi hai .
    But I want this movie to collect 150cr + .
    The trailer and promos are excellent.
    And I am eagerly waiting for this movie.

  5. Thik hai itna social films..bt now do bigger films.. 2.0 is huge bt after that afain nothing..gold is directed by reema who made taalah and makes multiplex oriented films

    Kesari and h4 directors are anurag singh and sajid who have horrible track records..sajid made humshakals which was very bad..dont know will h4 work..bt still kesari may work..best of luck akki

  6. Abe bobby sindhu to abhi tak prediction ka kaam kar raha h mujhe laga tha ki chod diya hoga,,,,Bhai tere saare prediction to superb flop hote h ,,and sabse bada flop tab hua tha jab tune tubelight ke liye 260cr+ predict kiya tha aur result kya nikla 118crs ,,,phir bhi predict kar raha h I think tu bollyarena ke amdin ka best friend h….

    Mere prediction bhi dekh le dekhte h kiska lagbhag sahi hota h…

    1st day: 13.20crs
    1st weekend: 42.50crs

    Lifetime: 106.50crs….
    Verdict: super hit…

    Reason: padmaavat bhi lambi race ka ghoda lag raha h aur aiyaari ka WOM positive raha to wo bhi acha business kar sakta h…..

    But I love akshay sir films and hope that my prediction fail and it collect for then that

  7. My top10 akshay sir films…

    2) khiladion ka khiladi
    2)jaanwar
    3)sangharsh
    4)khiladi+welcome
    5) Hera pheri series
    6)awara pagal deewana
    7)airlift+ gabbar is back
    8)de Dana Dan
    9)garam masala
    10)mohra

  8. Agar akshay sir ki filme 100crs+ kar leti h to wo bhi bhaut badi achievement h bcuz ek saal me 3-4 filme karke 100cr+ Dena bhaut difficult hota h lekin kuch idiot sirf collection KO lekar bhokte h ,,,,,wo ye nhi dekhte h ki unke best actors 2-3 saal me ek filme karte h aur hi holidays pe depend ho jaate h deewali ya Christmas…….. Akshay sir is in the range of khans and above varun,,ranbeer,,,,ranbir,,,Arjun,,,beshak in actors ki filme akshay sir se zyada business kar Jaye iska matlb ye nhi ki akshay sir se great h,,,,,,in chaaro KO abhi akshay sir ka 50%banne me bhi abhi 10 saal lag jayenge……

  9. And listen some idiots agar padmaavat 300crs+ bhi kar Jaye to iska matlb ye nhi ki ranbeer aur shahid akshay sir se bade actor ho jayenge……is film ne itna controversy create kar diya tha ki agar actor tusshar,,,aur ritesh bhi hote to bhi 150crs+ to kar hi jaati…. And ha ranbeer ki jitni bhi badi filme unme Deepika aur SLB ka combination h dekh Lena bina in dono ke befikre ,,,lootere,, ladies vs riky behl,,,,gundey DDd me se kisne 100 cr ka collection chua tha..

  10. Opening 14cr
    Weekend 52cr
    Week 85cr
    2nd week 32cr
    Rem 15cr
    132-140cr around
    Superhit / blockbuster(if 140cr more )

  11. I feel like it won’t cross 100 cr even with good or very good WOM. The topic is to sensitive for family and mass audience. And also Padmaavat remains very strong. Padman looks like a good movie but not like a commercial one…

  12. Hahahaha. I know Haters Ki jali padi h. Solo release Jo mil gya. Or ye 15 crore + opening legi pakka. Akki haters soch rahe the k ye 100 crore k ander fold ho jayegi. But Ab solo weekend mila h to 130-150 pakka h bus yahi jali padi h inki. Kuch B kar lo ye Padman to hit hi hogi.

  13. My realistic prediction being an akkian is 130 to 135 crores which is huge for such a taboo and niche film and only akki can manage this in such movies if it goes beyond this it would be truely magnificent

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