Guest Article


In 2012, a tsunami known as Ek Tha Tiger arrived. This event, we can call it, destroyed all initial records in sight, a nationwide craze with even police being reported to have come in areas to control the huge crowds. It was the first film to cross the 30 crore nett mark in a single day, thus destroying the previous opening day record holder at the time!

Five years later, the team is back. Salman Khan. Katrina Kaif. YRF. But not Kabir Khan….this time, it’s Ali Abbas Zaffar, director of Sultan.

Salman Khan is the biggest star in India. Sure, Aamir Khan puts up bigger lifetime totals with record grossers, but if we are combining fan following/craze, record openings, and huge grossers, then Salman Khan is the biggest. He may have delivered a box office flop earlier this year in the form of Tubelight, but the reason for that was just exactly that: Salman Khan was not presented in his superstar avatar in the film!

With Tiger Zinda Hai, Salman returns in the form that his fans, and all of India, love best: the macho, action hero image. The image that sends masses into a frenzy. He reunites in the film with Katrina Kaif, the superstar who still looks like a million bucks and shows no signs of aging!

Tiger Zinda Hai Box Office Predictions

The trailer received a tremendous response. Two of the songs that have been released are chartbusters. The craze is huge. Is there any doubt as to how this film will fare at the box office? To say that the film will be huge is an understatement. This one is going to be an earth-shattering success!

History has shown that when the biggest film production company in India, Yash Raj Films, makes a big-budget extravaganza event with a superstar Khan, all initial records are destroyed. Ek Tha Tiger and Dhoom 3 showed that. Sultan had a more rural look to it as compared to the international look of Ek Tha Tiger and Dhoom 3, but it also managed the second highest opening day ever and the biggest 3-day opening weekend ever at the time of its release.

Actually, I feel that there are more similarities comparing Tiger Zinda Hai with Dhoom 3. Both films are/were Christmas releases, part of a franchise, carry an international/grand look, starred Katrina Kaif, have/had non-holiday opening weekends (before Christmas itself), and clashed with a non-Hindi film. Dhoom 3 clashed with Bengali film Chander Pahar (which released on the same day in West Bengal and released throughout India the following week), whereas Tiger Zinda Hai will clash with a couple other films, arguably the biggest one though being the sequel of Chander Pahar, Amazon Obhijaan. However, there is no comparison, as the all-India craze for Tiger Zinda Hai is much higher than any of the other films it’s clashing with, including Amazon Obhijaan. Just as how Dhoom 3 broke the opening day and opening weekend record with no holidays, I feel that Tiger Zinda Hai will do the same.

With all of that said, there is one mission that these big YRF/Khan collaborations can’t seem to achieve, and that is of the BIG ONE: the lifetime record. The hurdle in this case, has always been a film of Mr. Perfectionist, Aamir Khan. Ek Tha Tiger became the second biggest grosser, falling short of Aamir’s 3 Idiots. As a matter of fact, before the release of Ek Tha Tiger, I had predicted the same with a 180+ crore nett lifetime prediction, and the film ended up finishing with a lifetime total of 186 crore nett. Sultan became the third highest grosser ever, falling short of Aamir’s PK and Salman’s own Bajrangi Bhaijaan. Dhoom 3 did become the highest grosser ever, but that starred Aamir himself!

Whether it’s 3 Idiots, PK, and now Dangal, the fact is that the All-India public Word of Mouth for these Aamir films were extraordinary. These big YRF/Khan action films, on the other hand, tend to be fully loaded with earth-shattering openings, but then missing out on the lifetime record due to mixed-to-positive (not extraordinary) All-India public Word of Mouth. I’m expecting the exact same with Tiger Zinda Hai, with the film falling short of the lifetime Hindi film record of Aamir’s Dangal. Nothing to criticize though, as Tiger Zinda Hai will still be a mammoth, roaring box office success!

My Box Office Predictions for Tiger Zinda Hai:

  • Opening Day: 41 crore nett
  • Opening Weekend (Fri-Sun): 128 crore nett
  • Lifetime Collections: 360 crore nett
  • Overall Verdict: All Time Blockbuster

This Christmas, Tiger returns….to destroy the box office!

The article has been written by Bobby Sidhu who is a box office enthusiast and have an internship in a tax firm in Canada. You can follow him on Twitter Bobby Sidhu.

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