The last few weeks have been rough for Bollywood releases. The big Eid release starring Salman Khan has disappointed at the box office. Now we are entering into the second half of the year and there are some big films releasing in next couple of months.
Jagga Jasoos: Ranbir Kapoor and Katrina Kaif starrer is looking like a perfect summer film. The promos and songs have generated an interest among the audience. The feel of a Disney adventure will appeal towards kids and family audience as it is a holiday season. However, it is a delayed project and there was a lot of negativity surrounding the film. Historically, most of the delayed films have not fared well at the box office.
Also, the reports are not so great as the shooting was delayed multiple time. The project was even about to shelve at a time. A lot of portion has been reshoot and the storyline is also changed. This might have affected the final product. Still, the trade is hoping that JJ will help the industry. As of now, it is looking to open at around 10 crore and lifetime can go above 100 cr if the word of mouth is positive.
Munna Michael: Tiger is quickly emerging the darling of masses. Munna Michael is his third film with director Sabbir Khan who has given him two hits earlier. The promos have indicated that it is a full-on desi entertainer with songs, dance, action and romance. The film will have an excellent opening in masses and has chances to surprise in plexes too.
Mubarakan: Anees Bazmee is back with a comedy film starring Anil Kapoor and Arjun Kapoor. The trailer and music have received a mixed response from the audience. When in form, Anees can make a perfect comedy film. However, the latest one is looking outdated. There is also a lack of star power in the film. It is likely to struggle for an initial.
Jab Harry Met Sejal: SRK has come back to the romantic genre with JHMS. However, the promos are giving the vibes of an urban rom-com. The director Imtiaz Ali can also be a liability as his most of recent films are complex. On the brighter side, the music of the film will help the film in generating interest. The first two songs have become hits and the best is yet to come.
A good initial of up to 20 crores is guaranteed unless RCE again messes up the promotional strategy. The lifetime collection will depend on word of mouth which will come into play before the Independence Day weekend.
Toilet Ek Prem Katha: As of now, Akshay Kumar starrer TEPK is looking like the hottest film. The trailer was received very well and songs have shown the love story set in the background of a village. Films with social message blended with comedy and romance can work big time if executed well. Also, there will be a support from the government and it can become tax-free before release.
But we have seen in the past that Akshay’s core fan following in masses are not coming to theatres. This might be the case with TEPK too even though it has universal appeal. If made well, then it has the potential to become Akshay Kumar’s biggest hit.
1st Day Box Office Prediction
| Movie | Cast | Trailer | Music | Interest | FBP | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiger Zinda Hai | 10 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 38.50 | - |
| Padmavati | 8 | 7 | - | 8 | 25.50 | - |
| OK Jaanu | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 4.70 | 4.08 |
| xXx | - | - | - | 6 | 8.20 | 8.75 |
| Raees | 9 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 20.20 | 20.42 |
| Kaabil | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 11.80 | 10.43 |
| Jolly LLB 2 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14.50 | 13.20 |
| Rangoon | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6.20 | 6.07 |
| Commando 2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3.80 | 4.25 |
| Badrinath Ki Dulhania | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 11.0 | 12.25 |
| Machine | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Phillauri | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 4.20 | 4.02 |
| Naam Shabana | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3.40 | 5.12 |
| Begum Jaan | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3.20 | 3.94 |
| Noor | 2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2.10 | 1.54 |
| Baahubali 2 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 30.50 | 41.0 |
| Meri Pyaari Bindu | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2.10 | 1.75 |
| Sarkar 3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| Half Girlfriend | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 8.80 | 10.27 |
| Hindi Medium | 3 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2.20 | 2.81 |
| Raabta | 6 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5.50 | 5.61 |
| Tubelight | 10 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 25.50 | 21.15 |
| Jagga Jasoos | 8 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 10.10 | 8.57 |
| Munna Michael | 7 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 8.50 | 6.65 |
| Mubarakan | 5 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6.80 | 5.25 |
| Jab Harry Met Sejal | 9 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 18.0 | 15.25 |
| Toilet Ek Prem Katha | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 12.80 | 13.10 |
| Bareilly Ki Barfi | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1.80 | 2.42 |
| A Gentleman | 6 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 6.0 | 4.04 |
| Baadshaho | 7 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 10.50 | 10.50 |
| Shubh Mangal Saavdhan | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2.0 | 2.71 |
| Simran | 3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2.20 | 2.77 |
| Bhoomi | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Haseena Parkar | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1.35 | 1.35 |
| Judwaa 2 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 15.0 | 16.10 |
| Chef | 3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1.20 | 1.05 |
| Secret Superstar | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | - | - |
| Golmaal Again | 8 | 7 | 6 | 8 | - | - |
| Ittefaq | 5 | 5 | - | 3 | 3.20 | 4.05 |
| Firangi | 5 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3.10 | - |
Lifetime Box Office Prediction
| Movie | Trade Buzz | LBP | Actual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Secret Superstar | 7 | 65 | 64 |
| Golmaal Again | 8 | 170 | 206 |
| Ittefaq | 3 | 26 | 26 |
| Firangi | 3 | 22 | 12 |
| Tiger Zinda Hai | 10 | 325 | - |
| Padmavati | 8 | 170 | - |
| OK Jaanu | 3 | 26 | 23 |
| xXx | 5 | 28 | 34 |
| Raees | 8 | 135 | 134 |
| Kaabil | 6 | 92 | 101 |
| Jolly LLB 2 | 8 | 108 | 115 |
| Rangoon | 4 | 28 | 21 |
| Commando 2 | 3 | 26 | 24 |
| Badrinath Ki Dulhania | 7 | 102 | 117 |
| Machine | 1 | 2.5 | 2.95 |
| Phillauri | 5 | 28 | 28 |
| Naam Shabana | 3 | 31 | 36 |
| Begum Jaan | 3 | 22 | 20 |
| Fast and Furious 8 | 9 | 85 | 94 |
| Noor | 1 | 9 | 8 |
| Baahubali 2 | 10 | 380 | 510 |
| Meri Pyaari Bindu | 2 | 12 | 10 |
| Sarkar 3 | 2 | 11 | 10 |
| Half Girlfriend | 6 | 54 | 56 |
| Raabta | 4 | 24 | 24 |
| Tubelight | 10 | 150 | 120 |
| Jagga Jasoos | 5 | 68 | 58 |
| Munna Michael | 5 | 36 | 35 |
| Mubarakan | 4 | 40 | 55 |
| Jab Harry Met Sajal | 7 | 72 | 65 |
| Toilet Ek Prem Katha | 7 | 154 | 135 |
| Bareilly Ki Barfi | 3 | 26 | 34 |
| A Gentleman | 5 | 22 | 21 |
| Baadshaho | 6 | 70 | 68 |
| Shubh Mangal Saavdhan | 4 | 36 | 43 |
| Simran | 3 | 22 | 18 |
| Bhoomi | 3 | 16 | 11 |
| Haseena Parkar | 1 | 12 | 8 |
| Judwaa 2 | 7 | 125 | 138 |
| Chef | 2 | 8 | 6 |
86 Comments
munna Micheal 12.25 nhi hoga mere bhai..max 10..
Kyu nahi hoga 12 cr buzz of munna michael is very good in mass areas they have been waiting for movie like this since months
My prediction
#JHMS
day 1-20 crore
LT – 110 crore
TEPK –
Day 1–21 crore
LT –155 crore
( ydi song extra ordinary hote to 200 crore )
#Secrete SuperStar
es movie ka Box office b eske naam jesa hi hoga….
day 1st – 25.5 crore
LT – 250 ATBB
content great hua to :- 300 crore
hureeeeee….Dangal has highest TV TRP….
Dangal TRP :- 4.3
Jolly llb :- 3.83
kabil :- 2.37
Raees :- 1.6 ( flop)
shayad TV pr XMAS ko release hui hogi
??????????????????
My prediction( as usual it will be true so take screenshot so that u can check further):-
Jagaa:-50-60
Munna:-45-58
Muh:-30-40
Tepk:-125+-140
Jhms:-130-145
Are bhai srk ko underestimate Matt kar..jo banda clash me 140cr kar skta h wo samaj le solo me kya kar skta h..
Best example fan
Epic reply ???
???????…best example h……..
srk ko pta h , jyada screen me release kre to Tubelite ki tarah distributer ko loss hoga…..
…
so clash karwa do…..badnami b nhi hogi , kyoki clash hua tha…..flop hone se b bach jayegi……
or fokat ka promotion ho jayega….
bhai log srk ko jada yaad karnewala sayad mahaveer hi hoga ,sayad sone me bhi yaad karta hoga,jahan srk k baat hi nhi hoti h wahan bhi srk ko yaad karta h ,itna yaad karne ka mtlb h ki ye hater nhi blki fan hi h
Right bro?
FAN movoie vala FAN hu?……
@Ray
Haah be, khud ke reply ko kisi aur ka naam deke epic bolte ho. Tere lallu ne kya ukhada. Solo eid release, footfalls less than flop fan.Lost 4 clashes with Akshay Kumar. Aaaak thoooooooooooo
No …. Best Example #TubeLight ATBB ??
buzz to jolly llb2 bhii ache thee par opening kitne mile isko..aur iss baar to competition h jhms toh itna opening nhi milega bhai
Lol jolly llb 2 pe case hua tha that’s why advance booking late se chalu hua still 13.20 Cr kia
Hahahahaha ye dekho iska logic hahaha poor chakkians …adhm ka itna protest hua fir v 13.5cr clash me v
Baklol protest aur case me Antarctica hota be gatarchap pehle apna iq badha phir debate Karna mujhse
Baklol protest aur case me Antar hota be gatarchap pehle apna iq badha phir debate Karna mujhse
Abe chutiye case starting me hua tha smjhaa sale bahana mat kar ki release ke vaqt hua ..sale advance booking normally jaise hota hai vaise hi hua tha Jolly 2 ka v ..case January me hua tha smjhaaa or movue 10feb ko aaya tha ….bahana karna koi inse sikho
2oct me holiday ke din 3500 screens me Singh is bling sequel ke Baad v 16cr 1st day aaak thuuuu
Lallu sib 3100 screens tha naki 3500 aur sib Ka flop trailer tha Boz low still 17 Cr Kia tera fan Ka kya hua 80 Cr??
Lallu sib 3100 screens tha naki 3500 aur sib Ka flop trailer tha Boz low still 17 Cr Kia tera fan Ka kya hua 80 Cr?? aur lol jab pata nahi hai to bol mat case ke vajah se advance booking ruk Gaya tha bahut jagah ustime Ka article padh Bollywood arena ka
Right bro
@utsav bhai ,rustom aur airlift ko bhi case hua tha na lol
Rustom Ka screen kitna tha sirf 2300 usme bhi 14cr Ka opening diya morning occupancy 45% tha neche gener movie hone ke bajjood
IMDB TOP 250 Movies of The World. Aamir=6 movies Sanjay dutt = 1 movie (MB MBBS) Akki = 1 movie (hera pheri). [NOTE: As per recently update some movies are removed like DCH, SWADES,ANDAS APNA APNA,CHAK DE INDIA Bcuz some other movies get high votes than these . Dont trust check by urself].
RCE , guys please release a trailer with Jagga Jasoos. Please yaar, come on guys. Itni si baat bhi nahi mansakte. Arena bro, please convey this message
JHMS — 1st day—26 crores —
lifetime —–200+ min
Tepk—-1st day—10 crores
lifetime –120 crores max
Dream me jhms 200 karlega no problems???
I dont give a F*** about LT. With good content even Kangana can give a big lifetime. I want opening, but RCE is messing up the entire promotional strategy. Wake up RCE
My prediction life time
Jagga jasoos 90 cr
JHMS 130 cr
Mubarakan 45 cr
TEPK 145 cr
Munna Micheal 65 cr
Secret superstar 55 cr
Badshaho 115 cr
Tiger zinda hai 280 cr
Judwa 2 85 cr
Golmal again 150 cr
Padmavati 220 cr
?
@Bollywood arena…Guys you change your LBP according to your convenience…
I closely followed how you guys covered Bahubali 2 collections…You did a great job…Kudos for that…
But Your initial LBP for BB2 before release was 175 crores…Later you guys changed it to 380 crores as printed above…
I’m just curious why you guys change your LBP before release and after release of any particular film?
Some films can surprise. Before release, our predictions for Bahubali 2 and Tubelight were 175 cr and 305 cr respectively. But it was changed again after updating the word of mouth. For most of the films, the difference is not that much and in some cases, there is no difference at all. But there will be some exceptions. Keep an eye on Word of Mouth table for LBP after the release.
@bollyarena…what about Golmaal again…u gave LTP for secret superstar but forgot Golmaal
ranbir is already a superstar. right after Khans. Some stars are yet to give 20cr opening, 140cr lifetime. they give flops in Deewali also and their fans complain about holidays. but in 2nd october with 3100 screens, national holiday in 2015 their masala film took 17cr opening as per boi
Q tere ko akki ka naam lene mai dar lag raha hai ????
Beta yeh dar Hume accha laga keep this fear
@khan bahut jallo Akki se srk fans kuch jyada halter hai Akki because Akki is giving back to back Superhit and hit actor is struggling to get a clean hit???
Utsav rajpoot ……
Apne akki se jake puch usko kitna dar h srk ka….
Qki hr bar akki…srk se clash m hara h….
Aak thu…akki
Is liye bhagora bhag Gaya ? aur akki aur raha baat clash Ka to waqt hamara hai Vs Maya memsab clash aur khilari Ka khilari Vs chahat yaad hai Na kaise Akki se hara tha srk
Are bhai tiger Abhi naya h masses me aisa nhi hota wahn fan following bnne me time lagta h..aur upar se mm k songs bhii bekar h na daang ka heroine h isliye mushkil h..
Gaana thik to hai ..Mai hoon to achaa hai
ding dang song is already huge hit and tiger has made good fan following amongst single screens audiences right from his debut heropanti
Tiger is 200% better than srk or salman….abe ek -do hero ka pechay pade rahoga sari umar kya
Good work bollyarena. Really TEPK is looking hottest movie . It will cross 150cr mark .
like tubelight
My prediction :
Mubarakan – 35cr
Jagga Jasoos – agar bhut achaa hua to 100cr + agar kharab hua to 50cr
Munna Michael – 55cr
Jhms -175cr..Or agar WOM achaa hua to 200cr aaram se ..content pe.depend krta hai
Toilet Prem Katha – 85cr ..but tax free ho gaya hai to 100cr shayad chal jae
Secret superstar- 60cr
@arena
Why didn’t u predicted for billi murda hai ????
Dar gaye kya ki prediction galat na ho jaaye
Biggest joke I found on arena :-
Tubelight prediction :- 303 crore
Actual:-120
My prediction
Munna Michael 60 Cr
Jagga jassos 80cr
Jhms 120 Cr to 130 cr
Tepk 145 to 150
JHMS
DAY 1-18cr
LT-125cr
Sorry SRK fans ??
Now I feel Akki n Srk are in same range.. One a higher scale Salman.. Aftr that Aamir.. Baahubali 2 was an magnus operas.. Ranveer is the next Srk . Varun Dhawan would be the next Salman khan… Sus Rajput next Akshay kumar.. Baaki Sab tum log dekhlo.. ??
Opening depends on many things, not only “Stardom”
It depends on:
-Promotion
-Trailer
-Songs
-Period
-ATP
-Promos response
-Appeal
Instead of TL(Which opened to 21cr) if it was Dabbang-3/TZH it would open to 35cr despite pre-Eid
In this regard Aamir has marched ahead of SRK and Salman Khan.
@sayar
bhai jaan ,
Aamir or promotion me aage ???
pure media ko pese dekar , promotion kon krta h ??
Fokat k , be faltu…but chartbastered song kon dalta h ??
great location kon dalta h ??
7000 sejal se kon milta h ?
kapil k show , sare reality show me kon bhikh mangta h ??
twitter pr sekdo ko follow krke kon promote krta h ??
Aamir ka to kai bar trailer b release nhi hota h???
Abey bhojpuri, SRK has crazy fans who want to see him everywhere, who misses him madly if he is absent from social media for a short while, so he does promotion for his fans who like to meet him. If bhikhari aamir doesn’t have crazy fans who misses him and wants to meet him then it’s not SRK’s fault. Bhikhari aamir’s fans don’t even come to meet him on his birthday, who will come to meet him during promotions…???
Zhakas reply
My predictions
Jhms 125-135 crores
Jj -90 crores
Mm-75 crores
Tepk-150 -160 crores
Mubarakan-45 crores
jo log fan ki baat kar rhe h abey fan ka ww gross 184 cr tha jo ki tumhare stars ki hit movies se bhii jyda h..
What about Baadshaho’s life time prediction ?
@ mahaveer , who is stopping your tiny star from doing promotion ? Everyone does promotion except Aamir .What’s wrong in that ?
If the trailer doesn’t click then hard times ahead for JHMS. SRK take your time and choose your movies wisely. Shouldn’t have selected JHMS. This is looking another typical romantic role; something which you have already mastered. Will be happy if JHMS can prove to be a pleasant surprise. But as of now the excitement level is low .
BTW that #BeechBeechMein song is totally crap. Got head ache listening to it. But the #RadhaRemix by DJ Shilpi Sharma is awesome
Jhms will get good opening the rest is on WOM
My prediction
Movie Life time Verdict
Jagga Jasoos 50 Flop
Munna Michael 30 Disaster
Mubarakan 30 Disaster
Jab Harry 50 Disaster
Toilet Ek 90 Hit
Secret Su 22 Disaster
Sabko salman samjha hai kya…eid p flop dene wala
Salman samjha hai kya jo eid main bhi flop deta h
I see your frustration
Keep calm.
And wait for mega disaster on Christmas….
@jeet abhi teri utari nahi hai jo aisa prediction kar raha hai
jhms 300+
The best song has to come for tepk also.. Wait dear the radhe Radhe song will definitely become darling of masses and classes. Tepk will be huge.
My prediction. For TEPK 1st day 16.20 2nd day 18.60 3rd day 20.20 weekend 53-56cr 4th day 11.60 5th day 19.90 totel 5 day collection 82-85cr &1st week 103-106 cr & 2nd weekend 127cr life time 150+cr
Agar clash hota that to JHMS 2700&TEPK2300 screen hote an clash nahi hai to 500-650 benefit jaroor milega for my prediction about screen jhms 3700+& tepk 2850+ screen definatly
My prediction mubbarka 45cr jagga jasoos 65+ munna Michal 60+ jhms130+ agar achhi hogi to 160+ tepk 140+judwa2 150+ becz 3holiday for Judwa 2 Saturday- dashra Sunday ,Monday -2oct Gandhi jaynti
May all be hit. Bollywood needs to pick up
Jab hary met Sajal will wrap up between 125 Crore. Same old rom com nothing new to offer. I am looking for TEPK surely it would be very good movie. Secret Superstar is the dark horse it will do wonders and might cross 100 Crore as well.
Prediction
Jagga Jasoos
1st day:-10Cr. LT:-80
Munna Michael
1st day:- 9-9.5Cr. LT:-65Cr
Mubarakan
1st day:-5-6Cr. LT:-35-40Cr
JHMS
1st:-19-21Cr. LT:-140-155Cr
TEPK
1st day:-14-15Cr. LT:-120Cr
Jagga jasoos 60-70cr
Munna 70-80cr can reach 100cr
Jhms-100-110cr
Tepk-90-100cr
If jhms get positive response which is near to impossible then collection will be 130-135cr
While in case of tepk positive response k sath shayad 90-100cr pahuche warna 70-80cr
@Utsav Rajput
Boi hasn’t updated about Maya Memsaab. Plus IBOS says that release dates were different
Aur pagal hogaya hai kya be do kaudike fan
Kkk vs chahat kab hua
Ek atbb nahi
Ek hgoty nahi
Ek 2.5cr ffs nahi
Ek ya do bbs hai
Ek 20cr opening nahi
Bhaag Jesé akki CE se bhaga tha
Abe lallu srk fan quantmd Vs Cr lab hua tha Jo tum srkians volte rebte ho aur raha bat boi Ka to boi 1994 ke baad Ka updates deta hai ussepehla Ka details uske baad nahi hai
Aur srk ke pass kya hai
Ek 100cr movie nonholiday pe nahi
Ek bb nonholiday pe nahi
Struggling to get clean hit since 2014
Aur bhagora bhag Gaya Akki Ka daar se ??
@ sayar, well said.these Akki fans are very irritating.
Do Cauri Ka actor ke fan apna actor Ka movie hit karane Ka aukat nahi hai???
My prediction for JHMS:
Weekend: 105
1 week: 140
Life time: 180 to 200+
@sayar ho and check on Wikipedia release date is same for both but I know you would refer khan office india biased towards lallu and Srk u told that boi is not trustable so now what are u doing
@Abhijeet
BOI is not trust able for other things. But their release dates are exact. And wikipedia? Even I can edit that.
Boi ke pass 1994 se pehle Ka koi update nahi so check on Wikipedia
@Utsav Rajput
Kya bola?? Non holiday pe blockbuster nahi? To RNBDJ/Karan Arjun tere baap ne diye the?
Aur ye holiday kya lagarakha hai be? Tere do kaudi ke canadian ne holidays pe kitne flops diye hai bataun???
Aur Raees kya tere dada ne fiya tha
Ja, srk ka competition Salman-Aamir ke saath hai
Aur cleanhit ki baat karta hai, jaake canadian ka track dekhle, srk has given 11 clean hits in a row.
Non holiday, non holiday. Abey Axn replay, blue, jaaneman, tmk ne kya ukhadliye holidays pe?
Aur wikipedia to main bhi edit karloo
do account banake ata hai
Raees no holiday pe aaya tha ghochu raees is republic day weekend release tab to dangal tubelight rustom sab nonholiday release hai pehle aache is pata Karo holiday release aur nonholiday release ke bare me phir bolna
Comment:utsav rajpoot u rock bro
??
Comment:akki is great
jhms is life collection ww400cr bcoz srk ko able bar khula Medan hai