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Box Office Expectations of Jab Harry Met Sejal, TEPK, Baadshaho, A Gentleman

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Guest Article by Prashant Kumar:

This year started with a bang as there were two big movies (Raees and Kaabil) lined up to release in January. Both performed reasonably well too by making money in excess of 200cr. In the beginning, things were also looking pretty good when eyes fell on the list of upcoming movies as this year big stars like Salman and SRK had two releases. Apart from these, most awaited ‘Baahubali The Conclusion’ was about to release.

Finally, the day had arrived when Baahubali 2 released and what it did the at box-office is simply historic as the film collected net 500cr from Hindi version alone. No word is there to describe this phenomenon but the debacle of Hindi films started after that when one release after another fell flat at the box-office. Biggest of them was the disastrous performance of an EID release Tubelight starring Salman Khan which ended its run at 120 cr. As of now, 7 months are about to end but not a single blockbuster have come from Bollywood and looking at the upcoming releases chances are also minimal. Let take a look on few of the upcoming releases and box-office expectations.

Box Office Expectations of JHMS, TEPK, Baadshaho, A Gentleman

Jab Harry Met Sejal (4th August): JHMS is bringing two different, very successful persons together – one is the Superstar SRK and the other is an acclaimed director Imtiaz Ali. So on paper it was looking like an exciting collaboration as expectations were that audiences will get to see something different from this team. But when promos came on then it proved everyone wrong since it was looking like a more of Imitiaz’s film than Srk’s.

It is clear that it is going to be the same urban rom-com which Imitiaz is churning out since the beginning of his career. In this post-Baahubali era, rom-com genre has almost died. The situation became bitter for JHMS when RCE came with its poor marketing strategy of releasing mini trailers. As of now considering romantic genre, the music album of JHMS is a big let down. So neither songs have worked nor genre is favourable. Only SRK stardom is the positive thing for JHMS from box-office perspective.

  • Expected Screen size – 3500
  • 1st day- 18.5cr
  • Lifetime- 130cr

Toilet Ek Prem Katha (11 August): After a well-received trailer buzz of TEPK has gone down and it is probably due to the early release of trailer and follow-up of average songs. But still, it can open decently due to the presence of Akshay and genre of movie as today films which are based on Heartland of India seems to excite audiences and also film revolves around a social topic of making toilets in rural areas which will be more relatable for people of core Hindi belt.

Over the years we have seen some big changes in audiences from big cities if we go by success of Dangal, Sultan and even BKD then it has been noticed that even multiplex audiences are preferring movies with a rural setting where TEKP have a lead over JHMS .So considering the entire scenario, prediction of TEKP is going to be extremely difficult as it is depending upon a lot of factors.

  • Expected screen size – 3000
  • Expcted 1st day-13.5cr
  • Lifetime 105cr

A Gentleman (25 August): is looking like a low-budget BangBang (2014). Director Siddharth Anand last film Bang Bang which was also in the same genre underperformed 3 yrs ago but it was saved upto large extent due to strong opening because of festive weeknd and starpower of Hrithik-Katrina. Here it will not get those advantages as both Siddharth Malhotra n Jacqueline Fernandez has less following. As far as box-office pull of Siddharth is concerned we have seen it in BaarBaarDekho where he was paired with Katrina and also had chatbuster album but despite of all of these film opened at disappointing numbers of 6.8cr.

Considering all the factors only thing looking positive for ‘A Gentleman’ is its genre which is action-comedy and also up to some extent music can help as Disco Disco has become hit. The trailer has received well but not it is not up to the level of director’s last film BangBang.

  • Expected Screen size – 2000
  • Expected 1st day – 8cr
  • Lifetime- 48cr

Baadshaho (1 September): Baadshaho is bringing back the successful team of OUATIM where Milan Lutharia was the director. OUATIM became hit in 2010 and Ajay’s character of Sultan Mirza became iconic. The music of the film can be its biggest plus point. Sunny Leone and Emraan Hashmi is a lethal combination and Piya More song from Baadshao is proof of it. Rashke Qamar an another song from Baadshao which released some weeks ago has also become huge hit so music will help Baadshao. OUATIM released in 2010 with less screens and cheaper ticket prices made 60cr so assuming Baadshao having the same WOM I am predicting it to collect near 90cr.

OUATIM released in 2010 with less screens and cheaper ticket prices made 60cr so assuming Baadshao having the same WOM I am predicting it to collect near 90cr.

  • Expected Screen size – 2700
  • Expected 1st day- 15 cr
  • Lifetime- 90cr

Disclaimer: The views expressed by the writer do not necessarily reflect the views and policies of Bollywood Arena. If you also want to write for us, send your articles on editor@bollyarena.net. 

75 Comments

  1. Nice prediction and good points. I hope this is the last film SRK does in this genre. Hoping him to do a larger than life action masala role

    • SRK and Varun Dhawan U.K Fans Base Reply

      Music is a huge let down that’s funny because two songs from the album are chartbusters!

      Hawayein is the fourth most streamed song in the world and no 1 in India, your right that def looks like a let down!

      The hype is much bigger than TEPK, and your predictions for TEPK should be higher than that!

      JHMS Will work on SRK stardom and content!

    • SRK and Varun Dhawan U.K Fans Base Reply

      Due to huge demand extra shows have been added for JHMS in Hyderabad but according to some sites the hype is missing!

    • Guys this post is not bollyarena prediction. it’s just a guest article posted by bollyarena.. guest can be skr hater or hater of other actors as well.. May be he is amir Khan fan.. any think possible.. jst relax…
      I am also one of the guest, I can predict below.
      JHMS : 10 CRORE opening and life time 30 crore. Lol
      TEPK : 50 CRORE.opening and life time 1000 crore ..Lol

    • @arena
      Yeh bobby sindhu kam tha Jo peasant Bhai ko aur Le aaye
      My prediction will be
      Jhms 130-140max
      Tepk 120-130
      Baadshaho 95-105
      Gentle 40-50

      • jhms below 100 likh lo….fir se fan aa rahi hai ….buddhe ki love story

    • nice prediction but one amendment jhms first day will be below 15cr…..songs are average aur advance booking na ka barabar hai

      • Bollywood lover Reply

        Agar 18-20 crores hua toh bol nanga ghumega muh kala karwakar ek din ke liye?challenge?

    • SRK and Varun Dhawan U.K Fans Base Reply

      Biggest single screens hall has been all booked out for the weekend!

      Advance booking is bigger than most releases this year after Bahubali 2

    • Akshay Kumar Is Not Expecting Good Box Office Figures For Toilet Ek Prem Katha: says koimoi

      Akshay ne Abhi se phurrr kar liya..

      • Koimoi flop site kaun follow karta hai
        According to Koimoi
        Tubelight is a avg, kabbil is superhit haha jake boi check kar usne article me bola tepk is solid hindi film and it will break RR lifetime collection

  2. Baadshaho opening 15
    Tepk opening 13.5 with clash earning 105 lifetime while for Baadshaho with blockbuster music and Ajay-Milan -Eemran return solo opening 15cr lifetime 90cr how?
    If tepk can open 13.5 and gross 105 then
    Baadshaho with hottee buzz opening 15 cr should easily cross 100 cr.
    JHMS opn 19 lifetime 140+ Hit
    Tepk opn 13 lifetime 85 -108 hit
    Genttleman opn 6.5 lifetime 50. Flop
    Baadshaho opn 14 lifetime 110.Hit

  3. Wait and watch , JHMS will f*ck TEPK, don’t forget , take a screenshot 😊

  4. Who is Prashant Kumar?

    Apne hi tarah launda lapada he ya box office expert?

    • jisko kuch nhi malum ..daru pi ke sab movie ka prediction kiya..hahahah lol

  5. @ bolly give some update on advance booking of jhms. Yahan hur koi apni bakwas kar raha he. Koi extraordinary bata raha he aur koi poor. I want facts

  6. Idiotic prediction for tepk it will be around 140 to 150 crores 130 is bare minimum 105 heights of stupidity and badshaho around 100 crores

    • 90 to 100 cr to tepk first week me hi kar legal Rustom sirf 2300 screens me 90 cr ka tha first week aur tepk ko minimum 3200 screens milega hi to 100 cr first week
      130+ lifetime

  7. Who is this idiot that is sayingJab harry met sejal’s songs have not worked..Mr.if u dont listen to songs that doesnt mean the songs are bad they have all become chartbusters!Get it!

    • Yrr dekh ismein koi jooth nahi hai ki JHMS k songs hit nahi hai. I m a SRK fan but I have power of accepting truth. Laila song from raees crossed 10m views in one night and songs of JHMS are doing it in 7days. Laila has crossed 200m nd zaalima has crossed 100m views but 50m views are looking tough for any song of JHMS.

      • laila has crossed 200m ok; but in 6 months
        the same for zaalima
        so stop underestimating JHMS yaarr :(

  8. I can sense that the writer is a die-hard-SRK fan and is voicing all SRKians. JHMS should not have happened, nevertheless even SRK is human, so he can commit mistake. Sad thing is that it is his 4th mistake in this decade.
    So SRKian mates, let’s move forward and look upto Anand L Rai’s next. With every mistakes there comes a realization. SRK realized not to do shitty masala films after Dilwale, not to do unsafe experiments after Fan. He knows better than us.

    Also to Akki fans: I know TEPK has a bigger appeal and may end up collecting more than JHMS but you know which star is ahead when it comes to overall career and please stop your “Non-Holiday” chants because festives are not anybody’s father’s property. In overall career Akki will always be in 4th position; to be 3rd he needs to deliver Bollywood solo(Not Tollywood/Telegu side role) ATBBs,HGOTYs,11 more BBS, 3cr+ footfalls consistently and survive for 20more years. Not to forget 4 ore record openers.Remember Akki has may Diwali, Xmas, I-Day releases and movies like HAHK, DDLJ, KKHH, Raja Hindustani, Gaddar were ATBBS despite clash

    To Salman Fans: It’s about genre, content not stardom. Post-Baahubali age is not about which star has more initial pull or who has bigger stardom. It’s about whether you are in a right film or not.If u are not in a right film, even fans don’t end up watching-something which happened to Tubelight. So stop arguing on who is a bigger star.No star is bigger than the film. The film itself is the biggest star. Anyone among SRK and Salman can turn “Bajrangi Bhaaijan” into an ATBB, and put any out of the two in Fan or Tubelight the films are bound to fail anyway.
    Anyone of them can turn TZH into record opener and anyone can turn Tubelight or JHMS into average or poor opener.

    My message to haters and all SRK fans.

    • Bollywood lover Reply

      No he is not a die hard srk fan and no he is not voicing what we have to say.The promos have been liked my many.if you didnt like it that’s your problem dont talk as you represent every srk’s fan.I just hope jhms work big time and lallu people like you gets a kick on your butt for talking shit against imtiaz ali films.He is a brilliant director.Tu bhai masala movies dekh

      • Ok! After looking at the first day collections amd lifetime collections, you will mince your words. Bookmark this page right away. Bol? Challenge accepted?

        And what’s wrong in masala ilms? Raees did 20cr despite clash. This will fall way short of that despite solo release. Tubelight did 20cr opening with 4500screens and everything falling in place. Tiger Zinda Hai will do more than the double of that.

        And do hell with Imtiyaz. I am an SRK fan, no Imtiyaz fan. And if you don’t care about box-office, don’t visit trade sites.

        I am an MBA student and money matters.

        • Bollywood lover Reply

          Again its not about being in a massy films.Its about the content.The content that is universally appealing.Raees was a massy film.It collected 11crores in its 2nd weekend.Cause the content was not there.and yes you maybe a mba student and bla bla money matters to you but who cares about what you think?If this movie is a well made film and liked by its target audience it may collect upwards of 150crores.Tiger zinda hai can open with 30crores but if the content doesnt click it will fall from the 5th-6th day.You know shit about film making.So dont try to portray your shit knowledge over here.agaya srk ko bolne kaise paisa banana hai.he is the second richest actor in the world you buffoon.the only sad part is the content of his films are not clicking with the neutral audience

          • He may be 2nd richest actor but in today’s BO standing he is in 3rd position after 20years of ruling and even that 3rd position is in danger. So shouldn’t we fans be worried??

            Pooja Daldani type people are killing SRK.

            • @ aadav tum ko masala movies pasand hein. 1000 baar dekho. Aur jis ko rom-com pasand hein us ko bhi 1000 baar dekhne do. Problem hota he jab log yahan apna opinion doosron pe force karna chahte hain. Ek extreme opinion he ke masala movies bund karo. Doosra extreme opinion he ke rom-com band karo. In extreme positions ke beech me follow karna seekhna chahye. Jis ko jo pasand he dekhne do. Agar logon ko pasand aye to abhi bhi romantic movie (adhm) ek action film (shivay) ko beat karsakti he. Action pasand ayi to romantic ko beat kar jyegi. Mein nahin samajhta koi genre flop ya dead hota he. Movie flop ya dead ho sakta he. Achi masala film (ce, dabang) hit hogi aur buri masala (jai ho, dilwale) nahin chalein gi.

                • 90% ka to mujhe nahin pata lekin i agree ke well made masala movie ki market well made romantic se kafi bari he. Mujhe sirf problem hota he jab log extreme position lete hein ke bas ek specific genre ko band karo. Mujhe generally hi extreme positions pasand nahin. Mujhe personally romantic genre koi itna pasand nahin. Is ka matlab ye bhi nahin ke me is argument ko accept karloon ke romantic movie ban ni hi nahin chahye. Ye alag baat he ke Personally mein bhi top stars se expect karta hoon ke woh large scale movie karein. Masala se zyada War movie ho ya sci-fi ho. Amir ne prove kia he ke bagher masala movie kye bhi ATBB deliver ki ja sakti he. Mein chahunga srk aamir route follow kare na ke salman masala movie route. Apni apni choice he to is lye koi aur argument nahin he mera

  9. @bollyarena still u dont hav idea about jhms screen no.. 3700 india and 1000+ overseas ..

    first day 25+ ..lifetime 180+ ..if mom positive 250+

  10. Bollywood lover Reply

    Neither songs of jhms worked?I mean yes people may have different tastes
    But saying hawayein also didnt work?and safar also didnt work?lol man.isko dhinchak pooja shayad pasand hai.bollywood arena please dont post articles from people who doesn’t have a clue and who is he even that you are posting his article?prashant kumar kaun ho bhai tum?jhms,tepk,baadshaho all the predictions will be wrong.tepk will definately earn more than 120crores and jhms will earn more than 140crores.

  11. Without any buzz, non festive or national holiday release, dead genre, 3K screens, no mass appeal, post Baahubali JHMS is expected to take 18cr opening. If SRK does a massy film high on styles and actions all records of opening will be broken. But sadly that is not happening.

    • What do you mean by dead genre it is rom com which is one of the most loved genre in india
      Akshay and srk both have given many hits/superhit with this genre like
      Hey baby, welcome, sir, house full, ce, and many mores

      • That was past. And Housefull, welcome, ce were comedy genre not Rom-com genres. They appealed for single screens also.

        Urban rom-coms are dead now. TEPK is not rom-com. It is a social message giving film

      • Ye padh

        In this post-Baahubali era, rom-com genre has almost died. The situation became bitter for JHMS when RCE came with its poor marketing strategy of releasing mini trailers

      • Mahaveer@pk.ak Reply

        @sayar

        but bhai Rakhi to biggest festval me se ek h na….jo 2-4 din tk celebrate kiya jata h

  12. Nohur Hemant Reply

    this is what i like with bollywood arena…. this site is telling the truth…. from the begining JHMS was getting poor response… suddenly it started getiing more viewers….how?????? the mini trailers and trailers are a big disaster…..SRK dirty game has started…. media and some sites are saying that it is getting good review and collections…. just to fool the public….its paid and fake….the movie has no content…. SRK role is always the same in all his love story movie….Red chillies calculator will start working on 4th Aug and will manipulate figures….above all lal mirchi calculator is the fastest calculator in the world…..

    • Mahaveer@pk.ak Reply

      @Nohur hemant

      man gye bhai , kya poll kholi h tune👍👍👍

  13. JHMS
    DAY 1 17 cr
    Day 2 17.5
    DAY 3 20.5
    Weekend 55
    Week 1 85 (Monday Raksha bandhan)
    Lifetime 130-145 cr

  14. “neither songs have worked” oh god please Hwayein’s records and Safar’s beauty is enough for you to shut the fuck up

    • @aadav tu dhobhi hai kya jo dhulai karega…..buddha ka fan ka record danger mein hai

  15. Pooja Daldani handles SRK’s twitter account also. Today she replied to Sumit Kadel with that. SRK is too liberal.

  16. Prashant abhishek Reply

    @ mahaveer, r u become mad ? From when Rakshabandhan become big festival like Eid , diwali, xmas ? It is a restricted holiday .government offices will remain open on this day.

    • Mahaveer@pk.ak Reply

      bhai @Ashant

      XMAS india me only 3 crore logo ka festival h ,

      OR Rakhi…100crore ka….jo 4-5 din tk chalta rhta h , 40 crore bhai or 60 crore brothers ka festival h

      bhai bahan ko gift deta h , puri family milkar…….Movie dekhne jati h…

  17. 🚬Gangs of Ajay Devgn🔫🔪 Reply

    Sure Shot Hit ….Baadshaho!! Its a 100 cr prone movie.
    Anys,best of luck for all the 4 movies!!

  18. @Srk fan
    There is diff between non masala film and urban romcom.
    Chak De India has more market than JHMS so does Dangal

    • Is se kon disagree karta he. Tum ne demand kia tha ke srk action masala movie kare (pehle comment mein). Mein keh raha hoon why just demand masala movie. 3I, PK, BB, Dangal ATBBs theen without being action masala. Masala movie se mujhe koi problem nahin lekin aur buhat ache options bhi open hote hein.

  19. @bollyarena….Gentleman is not directed by siddharth anand…it is directed by raj & dk…

  20. Day by day toilet ki popularity decrease hori.
    Max 80 to 100cr

  21. sorry to say bollyarena but I think TEPK easily cross 120 cr you always take akshay sir very lightly and you have to change your prediction confirmed

  22. Prashant abhishek Reply

    @ kayar veer, sach me pagal ho gaya hai kya.Rakhi festival 5 din kab se chalne laga .tu lagta h Pakistan me rahta hai jaha rakshabandhan 5 din chalta hoga.

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